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Henry Wilkinson, Head of Intelligence & Analysis, has written a study paper for a new OECD publication Global Security Risks and West Africa - Development Challenges titled ‘Reversal of fortune: AQIM’s stalemate in Algeria and its new front in the Sahel’.

The publication explores current global security issues, their development in West Africa and their potential impact on regional stability. It takes a close look at issues such as terrorism and trafficking, climate change and the links between “security and development”. Some of these issues are still the subject of heated debate. This book draws attention to the risk of oversimplified analyses and biased perceptions of security risks. It also highlights the need for coordinated policies and dialogue between West Africa, North Africa and OECD countries.

Henry Wilkinson’s paper argues that there is a serious risk of AQIM reversing years of stagnation and failure, and reinvigorating the jihadist cause in North Africa in a way that few observers of the group would have foreseen before the Arab Spring of 2011.  And it contends that the Sahel countries are at a critical juncture in terms of terrorism threat and response.

Read Global Security Risks and West Africa - Development Challenges, published 1st March 2012 by visiting the OECD bookshop.

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